Chance bounds

Some counts are missing. Keep every arrangement that fits the clues, then judge the claim.

One extra clue · Narrow the possible arrangements before judging a claim.

6 questions · No time limit

Example

Example

Example · Standard

What does the information tell you about this claim?

The circles show group membership, not group sizes.
Known counts
TilesCount
All tiles36
With marking A18
With marking B18

A and B may overlap. The four separate groups have not been counted.

Extra clue: the number of tiles with neither marking is at most 4.

Draw one tile uniformly from all 36 tiles.

Claim: the chance of having both markings is at most 7/36.

Ready to start?

Read the counts and the claim. Decide whether the claim is guaranteed, possible but not guaranteed, or impossible.

Help

A and B are two markings. Each tile can have both, one or neither. A draw selects each tile with the same chance. The missing overlap is not assumed to be random: consider every arrangement consistent with the clues. The review shows the possible range and complete arrangements that support or disprove the claim. These are original reasoning questions, not a validated intelligence assessment.

Each round has six questions and no time limit. Choosing an answer locks it. Review the steps, then move to the next question. Finish all six to save the round. Active time includes reviewing the steps, but does not count time when this page is hidden. Speed does not affect your score.

Use Tab and Enter or Space to choose an answer. The number keys also select answers, except when another control is focused. After an answer, Enter goes to the next question.

Original practice puzzles, not a standardized assessment.

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About this practice

Some counts are missing. Keep every arrangement that fits the clues, then judge the claim.

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